Risk Resolution 风险处理

AI Risk Resolution Engine · Detect → Explain → Recommend → Simulate → Execute · 从风险可视化到可执行的库存优化

Engine v3.2 · synced 14:32 CST

Open Risks 待处理风险

2 critical · 17 high

Critical 紧急

Action ≤ 3 days

Protected Value 可挽回金额

¥12.0M

If recs executed

Open Actions 执行中

Action tracker

Avg Confidence 平均置信度

84%

Model v3.2

Service Level Lift

+7.4 pp

If all accepted

Resolution Workflow 处理流程

The engine runs this loop every 15 minutes against live inventory, pipeline, and supplier signals.

1Detect 检测

Stockout · Overstock · Expiry · Supplier · Regional

2Explain 解释

Root cause: demand, lead time, pending, mix

3Recommend 推荐

Replenish / Transfer / Freeze / Supplier switch

4Simulate 模拟

Before / after coverage, risk, service level

5Execute 执行

PR · Transfer order · Tracker · Owner

Risk Command Center 风险指挥中心

Prioritized inventory risks ranked by Impact × Probability × Urgency score

Critical · Score 84效期风险

EVO+ Toric 12.00D/3.00D 13.7mm

ICL-EVOP-TORIC-M1200-C300-S137 · 西北 · 西安区域库合格

Impact 影响

Probability 概率

Urgency 紧急

Root Cause Analysis 风险成因

Why this is a risk · 为何识别为风险

166u of batch B202611125 has 5 months remaining; local demand velocity 1.81 u/day is below consumption rate.

What will happen if no action · 不处理的后果

¥112.9万 inventory <5 mo to expiry

Recommended action · 系统建议

Transfer 91 units to South China high-demand hospitals; freeze new POs for this SKU for 30 days.

Expected impact · 预计成效

Reduce expiry exposure by ¥62万.

Alternative actions · 备选方案

· Run targeted promotion at high-velocity hospitals
· Freeze new PO for affected SKU for 60 days
· Convert to consignment at Tier-1 KOL hospital

Forecast 45d81uForecast 90d163uAvailable 可用128uCommitted 已占38uPending/Hold 待处理0uLead Time 交期45dShelf Life Remaining5 moOwner 负责人Inventory Control

Before / After Simulation 优化前后对比

Before

45d cov158%90d cov79%StockoutLowExpiry ¥¥113万Service88%Inv value¥1.13M

After Rec. Actions

45d cov158%90d cov79%StockoutLowExpiry ¥¥51万Service93%Inv value¥0.51M

Action Workflow 执行

Type: 调拨 (Transfer)

Quantity: 91u

Confidence: 82%

Deadline: 5 days

Financial impact: ¥62万

Service-level impact: +3 pp South China service level

Owner: Inventory Control

Approval status: Draft → awaiting acceptance

Optimization Playbook 优化策略库

The seven action archetypes the engine can recommend

AReplenish

Replenish 补货

Available < reorder point

InputsOutputsF45 demand, lead time, safety stock, availablePR qty, supplier, arrival date, SL impact

BRebalance

Transfer 调拨

Region imbalance / near-expiry pressure

InputsOutputsSource stock, dest demand, shelf lifeTransfer qty, source→dest, risk reduction

CHold

Freeze Purchase 暂停采购

Above max stock or declining demand

InputsOutputsMax stock, open POsFreeze period, cash release, review date

DReallocate

Supplier Switch 供应商切换

Supplier lead time / score below target

InputsOutputsLead time variance, fulfillment scoreAllocation split, cost, risk impact

ETune

Safety Stock Adjust 安全库存调整

Demand variability or supplier risk change

InputsOutputsVariability, LT variance, target SLOld → new SS, reason, SL impact

FMTO

Made-to-Order 转按单生产

Long-tail / low-frequency SKUs

InputsOutputsDemand frequency, pipeline confirmationStandard stock cut, strategic reserve

GUrgent

Consume Near-Expiry 优先消耗近效期

Batches with <12mo shelf life

InputsOutputsBatch list, demand velocity, hospitalsHospital priority list, value protected

Action Tracker 执行跟踪

4 actions · 3 open

Action ID	Risk	Action	SKU	Region	Qty	Owner	Deadline	Status	Expected Impact	Result
ACT-0007	缺货风险	补货	ICL-EVO-TORIC-M100-C200-S132	North China	80	Supply Planning	2026-06-07	Approved	Coverage 62% → 118%	—
ACT-0006	效期风险	调拨	ICL-EVO-SPH-M750-S126	East→South	70	Inventory Control	2026-06-11	In Progress	Reduce expiry ¥84万	—
ACT-0005	压货风险	暂停采购	ICL-EVOP-TORIC-M160-C400-S137	East China	—	Demand Planning	2026-06-18	Pending Approval	Cash release ¥42万	—
ACT-0004	供应商交期风险	供应商切换	Multi-SKU (12)	South China	30	Supplier Management	2026-06-14	Completed	SL 88% → 96%	SL 95.4% achieved on cycle 2